2026 Kentucky Derby
Louisville, KYSaturday, May 2
The 152nd Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs in Louisville — America's most iconic horse race and the first jewel of the Triple Crown.
Weather Model
Forecast Evolution
0d out
☁️
L 42°
H 59°
1d out
🌧️
L 40°
H 54°
2d out
☁️
L 40°
H 58°
3d out
☁️
L 42°
H 57°
4d out
☁️
L 40°
H 57°
5d out
🌧️
L 45°
H 60°
6d out
☁️
L 44°
H 64°
7d out
🌧️
L 42°
H 59°
8d out
☁️
L 48°
H 62°
9d out
☁️
L 48°
H 58°
10d out
☁️
L 40°
H 62°
11d out
☁️
L 51°
H 63°
12d out
⛅
L 45°
H 63°
14d out
☁️
L 54°
H 67°
15d out
🌫️
L 43°
H 59°
Model Race Results
Scored against the actual observed high of 56°F. Final scores reflect real accuracy.
🥇ICON0.57 · 7d
🥈ECMWF IFS0.82 · 14d
🥉GEM1.23 · 9d
4.GFS1.39 · 15d
5.ECMWF AIFS2.25 · 13d
6.NWS3.54 · 7d
7.Meteo-France4.83 · 4d
Forecast tracking powered by LucidSky — honest weather with uncertainty ranges.