2026 Kentucky Derby
Louisville, KYSaturday, May 2
The 152nd Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs in Louisville — America's most iconic horse race and the first jewel of the Triple Crown.
Weather Model
Forecast Evolution
5d out
🌧️
L 45°
H 60°
6d out
☁️
L 44°
H 64°
7d out
🌧️
L 42°
H 59°
8d out
☁️
L 48°
H 62°
9d out
☁️
L 48°
H 58°
10d out
☁️
L 40°
H 62°
11d out
☁️
L 51°
H 63°
12d out
⛅
L 45°
H 63°
14d out
☁️
L 54°
H 67°
15d out
🌫️
L 43°
H 59°
Model Race Results
Scored against the latest snapshot as a proxy. Final scores update with actual observed data after the event.
🥇NWS0.00 · 2d
🥈GEM0.37 · 4d
🥉ECMWF IFS0.55 · 9d
4.GFS0.57 · 10d
5.ECMWF AIFS0.86 · 8d
6.ICON1.33 · 2d
Forecast tracking powered by LucidSky — honest weather with uncertainty ranges.